🚨 Bitcoin Death Cross Analysis: Is a Major Bottom Already In? | CryptoShakti
Introduction
Bitcoin is once again approaching one of the most feared yet historically profitable technical signals — the Death Cross, where the 50-day moving average crosses below the 200-day moving average.
While traditionally seen as bearish, Bitcoin has a surprising history:
📌 The last 3 death crosses all marked major bottoms — immediately before massive rallies to new all-time highs.
In this analysis, we combine insights from two charts (provided above) to decode what the next Bitcoin move could be.
📉 What Is a Bitcoin Death Cross?
A Death Cross occurs when:
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50-day SMA crosses below
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200-day SMA
In traditional markets, this suggests weakness.
But in Bitcoin’s unique price structure and halving cycles, it often appears late — right at the end of corrections, not the beginning.
📊 Historical Pattern: Bitcoin Pumps After Every Recent Death Cross
The highlighted charts reveal a clear repeating pattern:
1️⃣ 12 September 2023 – Bottomed 1 day later
Bitcoin formed a death cross and bottomed the next day, followed by a strong upward trend.
2️⃣ 10 August 2024 – Bottomed 5 days earlier
Bitcoin had already found its bottom five days before the death cross completed.
3️⃣ 6 April 2025 – Bottomed the next day
According to the second chart, Bitcoin again bottomed one day after the cross.
📌 Result: The Past 3 Times BTC Hit a Death Cross → It Pumped to ATH
Your first chart also visually confirms this:
Each red vertical line marking a death cross is followed by:
🔥 A rapid recovery
🔥 A new macro uptrend
🔥 Eventually breaking to all-time highs
This is highly unusual compared to traditional stock behavior — but very typical for Bitcoin cycles.
⏳ So What Happens Now? (Based on Historical Data)
Across the previous patterns, BTC bottomed:
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1 day before
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5 days before
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1 day after
This gives a historical range of:
📅 Bottom occurs between 5 days before to 1 day after the death cross
📅 On average: Bottom forms within 7–10 days of the cross
Given current chart positioning:
➡️ Bitcoin has either already bottomed OR is within 7–10 days of forming its bottom.
🔮 CryptoShakti Forecast: What Comes Next for BTC?
Based on historical patterns + current chart structure:
✔ High Probability Scenario
Bitcoin finishes this correction, forms a local bottom, and then begins a fresh macro uptrend.
This could lead to:
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Retesting $90,000 – $100,000
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Attempting a new all-time high
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Momentum spreading to altcoins (ETH, SOL, Layer-2s)
❗ Low Probability / Risk Scenario
If macro conditions turn negative (rate shocks, ETF outflows, regulatory hits), price could:
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Dip into the $72K – $76K liquidity zone
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Extend the consolidation phase before recovering
However, this has not happened in any of the last three cycles around a death cross.
🎯 Final Takeaway
Death crosses in Bitcoin do NOT signal deep bear markets like they do in equities.
Instead, they have historically:
✅ Appeared at the end of corrections
✅ Marked accumulation zones
✅ Preceded massive rallies to new ATHs
If this pattern repeats — and Bitcoin’s market structure strongly supports it — the next few days may present a major long-term buying opportunity.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational and educational purposes only. CryptoShakti.com does not provide financial, legal, or investment advice. Cryptocurrency trading involves high risk, and readers should do their own research or consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions. CryptoShakti.com and its contributors are not responsible for any losses resulting from investment actions based on this publication.